Neu Venture Capital Investor Update

Dear Neu Venture Capital investor, Our frequent informal communications have generally taken the form of late night discussions where you vent your darkest fears about us losing all of your money and in return we rant like The Joker about burning the world down. Because these chats have covered so many topics, from your childhood to our desire […]

Power Laws in Venture

…The more rightward-skewed the distribution is, whether Pareto-Levy, log normal, or some related form, the more difficult it is to hedge against risk by supporting sizable portfolios of innovation projects. The potential variability of economic outcomes with Pareto-Levy distributions is so great that large portfolio draws from year to year can have consequences for the […]

Heat Death: Venture Capital in the 1980s

The history repeats itself crowd thinks that that there must be a bubble sooner or later. “Now?” they constantly ask, “Is it a bubble now?” as if history has to repeat whatever was most memorable about the last time. History may repeat itself, but there’s an awful lot of history that this particular venture capital […]

Best of Reaction Wheel

The other night someone asked me “Have you ever thought about ____?” I can’t believe you’re asking me that, I thought, I wrote a 20 page post on that four years ago. I’ve written 270 posts over the last seven years. Most of them suck, especially those prior to 2010. A few of them I […]

Who profits from innovation? Startups or incumbents?

The idea that only startups can innovate and that incumbents can’t respond is wrong. Apple responds to innovation and, though I hate to tell you this, they are not a startup. They were founded some 40 years ago and have more than 80,000 employees. I think the startup community feels proprietary about them because they […]

Betting on the Ponies: non-Unicorn Investing

Twenty fucking five to one My gambling days are done I bet on a horse called the Bottle of Smoke And my horse won – The Pogues I have decided to angel invest. Any advice? I spent some time decades ago in the horse-racing world, as a guest of someone who was actually in the […]

The Lewis and Clark Business Plan Competition

Jefferson sat in his office, looking out the window towards the Potomac. In the distance he imagined he could see Alexandria, though the heavy swamp air on a hot day (they were all hot in this swamp!) certainly made that impossible. It was a pleasant house, though it sat forlornly in a vast empty field. […]